- Prologue
- Factors affecting money supply
- WHY should we measure money supply?
- M0: Reserve money
- M1: Narrow Money
- M2
- M3 (Broad Money)
- M4
- Liquidity and ranking
- Money multiplier
- Velocity of money circulation
- Factors affecting Velocity of money circulation
- Assertion reasoning type Question
Prologue
Chapter 4: Prices and Monetary Management. FIVE subparts
- Inflation indexed bonds
- measures of money supply
- Monetary policy trends, RBI restructuring
- Indexes' Theory: WPI, CPI, IIP, Services index and others
- Indexes' Current: Survey observations on WPI, CPI & IIP, How to combat inflation
Factors affecting money supply
List not exhaustive | Season | Nov to April: crops harvest. Industries buy their raw material = money supply rise |
| Trade cycle | - Boom: money supply increases
- Depression: money supply falls
|
| Fiscal policy | - Money supply will decrease IF: higher Taxation and sale of G-sec.
- But, when Government spends the same money=> money supply will increase => inflation. (e.g. MNREGA)
- In other words, deficit financing = inflation; bigger fiscal deficit => inflation
|
| Junta's choice | Junta deposits higher portion of their income in banks => bank can expand loans => money supply rises |
| Monetary policy | - RBI's dear money policy (or Tight money policy)=> supply down
- RBI's cheap money policy=> supply rise.
|
WHY should we measure money supply?
- So far we learned, what factors affect the money supply.
- We also know that RBI's job is to control inflation, by controlling money supply through quantitative and qualitative tools- Repo, MSF, LAF etc. Make sure you've read the basics CLICK ME.
- But for that, first, RBI has to make an objective assessment of "how much" money supply is there in the system? Only then Rajan can make a rational policy to control the money supply. Therefore, they came up with following system:
Table not important, except for RBI interviews | Upto 1967 | Just "M" = money with public + junta's demand deposits in banks. (Current account and savings account, CASA) |
| Upto 1977 | Aggregate monetary resource (AMR) - Coins and currency
- Time Deposits (e.g. Fixed deposit, recurring deposits)
- Demand deposits (CA, SA)
|
| From 77 onwards | present system M0, M1, M2, M3, M4 |
M0: Reserve money
- M0 is the base for creating Broad money supply (M3). HOW? Technical explanation given in class12 Macroeconomics page 39 to 44 but cost : benefit not that great.
- PS: NCERT uses the term High powered money. According to Nadar's Banking book: M0 = Reserve money = High powered money.
- Anyways, M0 is the sum of following components:
Numbers not important, just for illustration | Components | Billion Rupees in Aug'2014 |
| i) Currency in Circulation | 13610 |
| ii) Bankers' Deposits with RBI | 3567 |
| iii)'Other' Deposits with RBI | 97 |
| Total M0: Reserve Money | 17274 |
M1: Narrow Money
| M1 includes | Excludes |
- Currency with public
- Demand deposit in all banks (e.g. current account, savings account)
- Other deposits with RBI
| - India's deposits with IMF, World bank, Foreign Government etc.
- Interbank deposits
|
M2
- M2= M1 + Post office bank savings*
- *Similar to regular banks, Post office also offers their time savings account, recurring deposit account, time deposit account. Here we count the Post office savings (="DEMAND deposit" type) only.
M3 (Broad Money)
- also called Money aggregate
- M3 = M1 + Time deposits with commercial banks (Fixed deposits, Recurring deposits).
- MIND IT: M3= M1+time and NOT M3=M2+time.
Here is real data from RBI: | As of August 2014 | Billion Rupees |
| Currency with public | 13003.9 |
| Bank's Demand deposits | 8142.3 |
| Bank's Time deposits | 77963.5 |
| other deposits with RBI | 96.2 |
| Total M3 (Broad Money) | 99205.8 |
Numbers not important but interpretation is:
- Banks receive more money in TIME deposits than in Demand deposits.
- If Banks received more money in Demand deposits [current account-savings account (CASA)], They've to pay less interest (0% and 4%) compared to Time deposits [e.g.Fixed deposits (9%)] = cheaper raw material (money) for loaning to others @13-18% and earning big margin.
- Banks have more money >> than with currency with juntaa.
M4
- M4= M3 + total post office deposits.*
- *meaning those Post Office "time deposits" and "recurring deposits" also. But excludes national savings certificate etc.
Liquidity and ranking
| NAME | TYPE | LIQUIDITY* |
| M1 | Narrow money | highest |
| M2 | Narrow money | less than M1 |
| M3 | Broad money | less than M2 |
| M4 | Broad money | lowest liquidity |
- *liquidity in the sense the how quickly you can get"Value" into cash.
- M4 has variety of "TIME DEPOSITS" (Fixed deposits etc) so you can visualize it takes time to "BREAK" those deposits and takeout cash. Hence lowest liquidity among the given.
Money multiplier
- It is the ratio of Broad money (M3) divided by Reserve Money (M0)
- Therefore, Broad money (M3) = Reserve Money (M0) x money multiplier
- In other words, when Reserve money increases, Broad money will also increase. (Direct correlation).
- For 2013-14, Money multiplier was 5.5.
Just for conceptual clarity, let's derive for August 2014, using the data from earlier tables
| August 2014 |
| M3 Broad money | 99205 |
| M0 Reserve money | 17274 |
| Money multiplier (M3 divided by M0) | 5.74 |
Velocity of money circulation
- It is the avg. number of times money passes from one hand to another, during given time period.
- e.g. you bought pen worth Rs.10 from shopkeeper, he uses same 10 rupee note to buy Cocacola=> then same currency note performed function of TWENTY Rupees. This is called "Velocity of money"
| IF Velocity of money ___, | Then money supply will__. |
| Increases | Increase |
| Decreases | decrease |
Factors affecting Velocity of money circulation
- Income distribution. Poor people immediately use their money. so, money in the hands of poor=> has higher velocity.
- Booming period = higher velocity
- If More people use EMI loans for purchase=> higher velocity
- Low financial inclusion =>less velocity, because banking penetration is low. People tend to save more in physical assets hence money doesn't change hands much.
- Developed countries => higher velocity, because people save less and spend more because of lifestyle and confidence in Government social-security e.g. USA
Assertion reasoning type Question
All the answers based on Economic Survey statements. I've included some questions from other chapters as well:
Q1.
| Assertion (A) | Ratio of Broad money M3 to gross domestic product (GDP) has increased in recent years |
| Reason (R) | The penetration of banking services has improved in India. |
| Correct Answer | both right, R explains A |
Q2.
| Assertion (A) | In 2013-14, there has been significant rise in Reserve money (M0) |
| Reason (R) | RBI's net credit to centre has increased in 2013-14 |
| Correct Answer | both right, R explains A |
Q3
| Assertion (A) | developing countries will require trillions of dollars for moving towards Sustainable development path |
| Reason (R) | Sustainable development implies higher input cost per unit of outcome in the short run. |
| Correct Answer | both correct, R explains A |
Q4
| Assertion (A) | in 2013-14, there has hardly any growth in mfg + mining sector. |
| Reason (R) | There has been a deceleration in private investment in these two sectors. |
| Correct Answer | both correct, R explains A |
Q5
| Assertion (A) | In IIP, coal, fertilizer, electricity, crude oil, natural gas, refinery products, steel, and cement are considered 'core' industries. |
| Reason (R) | Their performance has impact on general economic activity as well as other industrial activity. |
| Correct Answer | Both correct, R explains A |
Q5
| Assertion (A) | India's capital goods segment is a weak performer. |
| Reason (R) | In past three years, there has been a steady deceleration in the investment in capital goods sector |
| Correct Answer | Both correct, R explains A |
Money Supply M0 M1 M2 M3
Source: https://mrunal.org/2014/08/explained-measures-of-money-supply-m0-m1-m3-narrow-money-broad-money-money-multiplier.html
Posted by: vanderpooldient1957.blogspot.com
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